Coppock Curve Trading Analysis & Coppock Curve Trading Signals
Created by Edwin Sedgwick Coppock
This indicator was used for technical analysis of Stocks & Commodities in the beginning but was later used to trade Gold.
The principle behind this is the psychology of trading, based on the theory that human habit is predictable. And price movement always oscillates in a zigzag manner.
The principle of adaptation levels applies to how price reacts at certain levels, stock and prices will react in the same way or pattern setup as those observed historically.
Analysis & Generating Signals
In trading, The Moving Average is the simplest form of an adaptation levels, the price will oscillate around the MA Moving Average. This forms the basis of this trading indicator, which's a longer-term oscillator trading based on this adaptation levels(moving average), but in a different way.
Oscillators usually begin by calculating a % change of the current price from some previous trading price point, where the previous trading price point is the reference point (adaptation levels).
Edwin Coppock reasoned that the market participants' emotional state could be quantified by summing up the % changes over the recent past to get an overall sense of the market's longer-term momentum.
For example, If we compare prices relative to a year ago and we see that this month the market is up 20 % compared to a year ago, last month it was up 15 % over a year ago, & 10%, 7.50% and 5 % respectively the months before that, then we might ascertain that the market is gaining momentum.
Basic signals can also be generated using the Coppock Curve to trade market reversals from extreme price levels. Looking for divergence & trend-line breaks may also be combined to confirm the signal.
Implementation
The input levels of this indicator might need to be adjusted to better fit the dynamic nature of the markets trading.
Coppock Curve has a zero line reference point, but this does not represent the adaptation levels but it's only a visual reference point only.
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